Dalton Kincaid has entered the NFL with an overload of anticipation. Kincaid was selected 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Buffalo Bills coming off an impressive college career at Utah. Boasting 890 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns in each of his last two seasons. At 6’4″ and 240 lbs, Kincaid fits the physical mold of a successful NFL tight end. Although, his rookie season left some fantasy managers wanting more. With a total of 673 yards and only 2 touchdowns, his performance didn’t quite live up to his expectations.
The Buffalo Bills are amidst a significant transformation, particularly in their passing game. The departure of their top receivers in the offseason has reshaped the Bills’ receiver corps. Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shorter, and Justin Shorter are promising talents, but their chemistry with quarterback Josh Allen is still developing. This transition phase is crucial for Kincaid’s role in the offense, suggesting potential growth as the season progresses and as these new dynamics solidify. Although, all these talents have great potential themselves, therefore this could negatively affect Kincaid as well.
For fantasy football managers, the temptation to make swift roster changes is an understandable desire. However, the correct move for Kincaid’s situation is to maintain patience. His college career exhibited his potential, and despite a less than stellar rookie season, the changing dynamics of the Bills’ offense could serve as a catalyst for his breakout. The loss of two primary receivers might open up a larger target share for Kincaid, potentially increasing his fantasy production.
Early in the season, managers should closely monitor Kincaid’s usage in the Bills’ offense. In particular, look for signs of increasing trust from Josh Allen and the coaching staff. It’s too early to consider trading him away, especially given the current team transitions. There’s a reasonable expectation that Kincaid’s role will expand, making him a valuable asset either as a starter on fantasy teams or a trading piece, should his performance spike as predicted.
Dalton Kincaid remains a hold in fantasy football primarily due to the Buffalo Bills’ current state of flux and his untapped potential. While his rookie numbers may not have matched expectations, the unique circumstances surrounding the Bills provide a fertile ground for his growth. Fantasy managers would do well to hold Kincaid in their lineups, watching the Bills’ offensive evolution closely. His college performance wasn’t a fluke, and as the Bills’ new-look offense begins to gel, Kincaid’s fantasy value is poised for a significant upswing. Now is not the time for rash decisions—Dalton Kincaid’s breakout season could very well be on the horizon.
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