Jonathan Taylor stands at a unique crossroad in fantasy football. Showing us what the closest thing to a buy candidate is without being a buy, Taylor becomes a difficult decision. His peak in 2021 was nothing short of historic, but recent seasons have introduced a caution sign into the mix. Here’s a deeper look at why Taylor is as close to a fantasy football buy without officially earning that title on our Buy/Hold/Sell Chart and the factors that could influence his fantasy value moving forward.
One of the primary concerns for fantasy managers is Taylor’s slight dip in production. After an explosive 2021 season where he averaged 5.5 yards per carry and amassed 1,811 rushing yards, there’s been a noticeable shift. Last season, his average dropped to 4.4 yards per carry and he had 861 rushing yards. In 2023 the trend of reduced output continued with Taylor accumulating 741 yards. While his number of carries has also seen a decrease, the downturn in his yards per carry average – from his peak in 2021 by 1.1 yards – signals a performance concern that should be monitored.
The question on every fantasy manager’s mind is whether we will see the Jonathan Taylor of 2021 resurface. His decrease in performance is a justified worry. This slump places Taylor in a fantasy football hold spot; where we can’t justify him being a buy but the same is true for the sell title. Fantasy owners should wait for a sign of resurgence to his peak form before they’re willing to pay the Jonathan Taylor price that most owners would ask. Essentially, you’d be buying a 2023 Jonathan Taylor for the price of a 2021 JT when there’s signs of a production decrease lingering.
Amid these concerns, the emergence of Anthony Richardson offers a beacon of hope. Richardson’s presence in the backfield has the potential to lift the running game, creating more space and opportunities for Taylor. With defenses potentially spreading thinner to account for Richardson’s dual threat ability, Taylor could find the 2021 form he’s been missing. This shift could catapult him back to his elite status. Definitely turning a now fantasy football hold into a fantasy football buy.
In fantasy football, timing and foresight are everything. Jonathan Taylor, with his undeniable talent but recent production concerns presents a cautious case. He is a player on the cusp, offering both risk and immense upside. For those contemplating Taylor’s place on their fantasy rosters, the strategy leans towards a cautious hold. The hope is that with the right conditions, Taylor will recapture his 2021 form.
Until then, fantasy managers are advised to watch closely. Taylor’s situation is fluid, and any shift in his performance or usage should be acted upon swiftly. Don’t pay the 2021 JT price when you could possibly receive the 2023 JT. Nonetheless, the potential for reward is high, but as with all things fantasy, patience is key.
BrainyBallers Buy-Hold-Sell Chart (All Players)
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