In fantasy football, Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa stands as a figure of both promise and concern. Since being selected fifth overall in the 2020 NFL Draft out of Alabama, Tua has showcased flashes of brilliance but has also left fantasy managers mulling over his long-term value.
The 2022 NFL season saw Tagovailoa finish as the 9th ranked quarterback in fantasy football. This is an impressive feat highlighting his potential as a top-tier fantasy asset. This performance was bolstered by the receiving duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, along with the emerging DeVon Achane. Together, this offensive weaponry enabled Tua to have his best season yet, although still not a great one.
Despite these highlights, a closer examination of Tua’s career reveals a concerning trend—his touchdown production. Tagovailoa has yet to surpass the 30-touchdown mark in any season. With 14 interceptions last season, his touchdown-to-interception ratio is borderline concerning. This signals a potential red flag for fantasy managers considering his draft or trade value.
Further complicating matters is the future of Tyreek Hill, Tagovailoa’s most explosive weapon. As Hill inches closer to the end of his career, the absence of his game-changing speed could significantly impact Tua’s fantasy output. Without Hill’s ability to stretch the field, Tagovailoa’s job will become much more challenging. The Dolphins’ will need to bolster their receiving corps to therefore help Tua remain fantasy relevant.
Despite these challenges, it’s crucial to recognize Tua Tagovailoa’s inherent talent. He is a greatly gifted athlete with the makings of a fantasy football centerpiece. However, given the current trajectory and the uncertainty around his supporting cast, the 2023 season presents a critical year for his fantasy stock.
In the chess game of fantasy football, Tua Tagovailoa currently stands as a hold. Further, he is closer to the line of being a sell than he is a buy. Fantasy managers should closely monitor the Dolphins’ offseason moves, particularly how they plan to enhance their offensive weaponry. As the 2023 season approaches, the decision to retain, trade, or draft Tua will hinge heavily on these developments.
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