Linebacker 40 Yard Dash: Does It Matter? A Comprehensive Analysis
12/21/2024
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For part 37 of our “Does It Matter?” series, we attempted to find whether a linebacker’s 40-yard dash time can predict their
In dynasty fantasy football, knowing when to hold and when to sell is crucial for long-term success. The case for selling Davon Achane might surprise those who witnessed his electrifying rookie season. Although, a deeper dive reveals why dynasty owners should consider moving him while his stock is high.
A compelling argument for Achane’s sell status is the comparison to Darren Sproles. Due to similar sizes and RAS’s, Sproles is a player whose career serves as a potential blueprint for Achane’s trajectory. Despite Achane’s impressive start, statistics and historical patterns suggest he might be approaching a ceiling rather than just starting. Achane’s Relative Athletic Score (RAS) stands at a modest 5.72, glaringly contrasted by Sproles’s more robust 7.28, indicating a disparity in baseline athletic prowess. This comparison is crucial, as it frames our expectations for Achane’s career arc. Sproles and Achane have very similar frames, with Sproles standing at 5’6” 180 lbs and Achane at 5’9” 187 lbs.
Sproles’s best season occurred in 2011 with the New Orleans Saints. This season Sproles amassed 603 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns, and an impressive 7 receiving touchdowns. While Achane outpaced these numbers in his rookie year, reaching 800 yards and 8 touchdowns, it’s essential to note a significant portion of this production came from a single extraordinary game against the Denver Broncos, where he tallied 203 yards and 2 touchdowns. Removing such outlier performances from the equation, we begin to see a more Sproles-like production pattern.
Much of Achane’s appeal is from his undeniable speed, an attribute that can indeed be a game-changer. Yet, when speed becomes a player’s primary asset, it raises questions about the consistency and diversity of their contribution. In the NFL, a multidimensional skill set is often required for sustained success.
Achane’s rookie season will likely be viewed as a major success. Although, dynasty owners should recognize the importance of leveraging high-value assets at their peak. With his current valuation inflated by a standout performance and the appeal of his speed, now is the moment to sell high.
Considering the historical context and limitations suggested by his athletic scoring, Achane’s path might closely mirror that of Darren Sproles. While Sproles had a respectable and impactful NFL career, his fantasy football relevance had its limitations.
In the end, the recommendation to sell Davon Achane in dynasty fantasy football is not a dismissal of his talents or achievements but rather a strategic consideration based on historical comparisons and the nature of his skill set. As in all forms of investment, timing is everything. For those holding Achane, exploring trade options now while his value is at a potential peak could pay dividends down the line. All while avoiding the pitfalls of clinging to what appears to be a Sproles 2.0 in the making.
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BrainyBallers Buy-Hold-Sell Chart (All Players)
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