Image By Alonzo Adams/Associated Press
Image By Alonzo Adams/Associated Press

Is Ty Simpson the Next Jalen Hurts? 2026 NFL Draft Scouting Report & SPS Grade

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The 2026 class is being regarded to as a very thin talent group. Although even in those classes that do not pan out much talent, there are always diamonds in the rough. In some circle’s, Alabama’s Ty Simpson is being regarded to as one of those late 1st or early 2nd round talents who could elevate an NFL offense. But does he have the elite underlying profile to become a perennial All-Pro like Jalen Hurts? To find the answer, let’s look into what the scouts are saying and take a peak into what the viral Star-Predictor Score (SPS) is revealing about his NFL trajectory.

Everybody knows Jalen Hurts is a former Heisman finalist and NFL MVP runner-up. Further, he was the 2021 SPS QB1, a ranking that looks rough as of late, but as the old saying goes: “how soon they forget”. Is Simpson tracking toward an SPS grade where he too could land on the top 10 all-time? Let’s dive deeper into his film and analytical background.

Top 10 All-Time QB SPS
Top 10 All-Time QB SPS

The Film Breakdown: Pros & Cons

We all should be looking at both film and analytics as we know they go hand-in-hand. The following consensus film critiques are derived from looks into Simpson’s game film, highlighting his positive and negative traits:

The Pros (The “Elite” Upside)

  • Elite In-Structure Command: Simpson posted a 91.3 PFF clean-pocket grade. He excels at setting protections and identifying blitzes pre-snap, showing a mastery of the “minutiae” rarely seen in young starters. (PFFCBS Sports)
  • Advanced Anticipatory Passing: He is a “middle of the field” master who layers the football over second-level defenders. His ability to attack space and lead receivers away from coverage with anticipation is considered top-tier for this class. (PFFCBS Sports)
  • Mental Resolve & Poise: Despite an up-and-down 2025 season, Simpson showed the “warrior” traits and competitive confidence needed to lead a high-stakes offense, navigating a difficult SEC schedule with significant mental toughness. (A to Z Sports)

The Cons (The Refinement Needs)

  • Pressure Paralysis: His efficiency drops off a cliff when the pocket gets muddy. This is evidenced by a 47.6 PFF grade under pressure. He can become panicky, leading to unnecessary sacks and drive-stalling errors. (PFFCBS Sports)
  • Velocity & Arm Talent Roadblocks: While he has a serviceable deep ball, Simpson lacks elite natural velocity, particularly on throws to the wide parts of the field. This forces him to rely on perfect mechanics and processing to compensate for average arm strength. (PFFA to Z Sports)
  • Significant Experience Deficit: With only 15 career starts, Simpson is fighting against the “one-year starter” historical trend. His accuracy remains streaky, and he requires more live reps to master reading complex NFL-level coverages and blitz variations. (A to Z SportsCBS Sports)

What Is Ty Simpson’s SPS Grade?

For those of you who aren’t familiar, The Star-Predictor Score (SPS) is a scouting tool designed to maximize investment potential and reduce risks when drafting rookies in Fantasy Football. It is proven to have a higher accuracy than draft capital alone to predict fantasy football success. The SPS includes 13 to 17 metrics, with the exact number varying by the player’s position. All metrics are pre-NFL – and some are proprietary to BrainyBallers – providing a complete analysis of a player’s analytical profile. The SPS gained widespread notoriety for its high accuracy, having made it on Barstool and The Pat McAfee Show. The SPS database can be found here, and future projected SPS grades can be unlocked here.

As the Pat McAfee crew noted when reviewing our top 10 all-time Quarterbacks graphic: “They haven’t missed… those are all the guys they predicted would be stars and they hit on all of them.” 

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*If you are already a Premium BrainyBallers member, use this link to view Ty Simpson’s SPS Grade.

SPS Eligibility Disclaimer

Note: To maintain the highest level of predictive accuracy, the SPS model is only applied to QB prospects projected within the top 60 picks of the NFL Draft. If a player’s projection or actual draft capital falls outside this range, they do not qualify for an official SPS grade. Current 2026 projections reflect Simpson as an eligible prospect.

The Verdict

Can Ty Simpson defy the “one-year starter” curse and translate into an All-Pro NFL Quarterback? While scouts debate his physical ceiling, the Star-Predictor Score already has the objective numbers crunched. We’ve cross-referenced 17 metrics to see if he’s the next “clutch” superstar or just another high-floor backup. Will he potentially crack the Top 10?

[JOIN PREMIUM BRAINYBALLERS TO UNLOCK TY SIMPSON’S SPS GRADE]

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