Rome Odunze
Image By Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Rome Odunze
Image By Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Wide Receivers: Does Hand Size Matter? A Comprehensive Analysis

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In the latest installment of our “Does It Matter?” series, we look to answer the question of whether hand size plays a role in the performances of NFL wide receivers. Our analysis found an interesting correlation that shed light on this aspect of player evaluation. In this article we reveal both a hard and soft range of hand sizes where WR performance increases. Further, we found 12 rookie receivers who should receive slightly higher value evaluations due to their hand size falling within the range we identified.

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Our Methodology

Our research methodology involved gathering the top 50 fantasy football WR finishers since 2003. We then inputted each players’ hand size and began our calculations and chart creation. The first look at this data was an average performance chart, where we averaged the top 1, 5, 10, and 11-30th, and 31st-50th place finishers. That chart can be seen below:

Average Fantasy football WR Results By Hand Sizes Since 2003

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Detailed Analysis and Interpretation

One compelling trend that emerged from this chart is the relationship between top 5 hand sizes in comparison to the 31st-50th place finishers. The observation made was the top 5’s average (orange line) hand size consistently matches or exceeds the average hand size of WRs in the 31-50th place (purple line) in 17/21 seasons (80.9%). This finding hints at a correlation between larger hand sizes equaling higher performances.

Diving Deeper Into Past WR Performances

That alone did not quench our thirst for finding hand size trends. We then charted the individual hand sizes of all top 10 and bottom 10 finishers since 2003. We segmented them out into 1/8inch increments. The results showed the biggest increases at 9″, 10″, and 9.125″, in that order from greatest to least. This led us to believe 9 inches was an approximate minimum hand size for peak performance.

Bottom 10 NFL Wide Receiver Hand Size Finishes Since 2003
Bottom 10 NFL Wide Receiver Hand Size Finishes Since 2003

After seeing these results, we wanted to run our differences chart. This compares each hand size and the next 1/8 inch by subtracting the results of the bottom 10 from the top 10. This chart’s purpose is to help unveil the optimal hand size range for players. Just as we hoped, it revealed two distinct ranges that resulted in a higher performance. These ranges, oddly enough, are two ranges which are completely separated. In this chart, you will see both unique and non-unique players that showed up in our data. The chart’s desired outcome is a negative number for unique differences and a positive number for non-unique differences. This would show that when NFL Wide Receivers show up in the top 10, they are most likely to show up again. This consistency is what we are looking for here:

Differences chart of top 10 to bottom 10 wide receivers per each hand size

As seen above, there is a clear increase in top level production between 8.875″ to 9.125″, 9.625″ to 10″, then some extras between 10.25″ to 10.5″. Since we are trying to find the biggest ranges, the range beginning at 8.875″ prevails the highest net increase from top 10 to bottom 10. After that, the 9.625″ range has the most followed by the 10.25″ range.

Unveiling the Two Critical WR Hand Size Ranges

The identified ranges were from 8.75″ to 9.125″, with an extreme drop in high level performance between 9.25″ and 9.5″, breaking up our hard range from what we are referring to next as our soft range. Our soft range – where a smaller increase compared to our hard range occurs – then picks up between 9.625″ and 10″. Therefore, our findings present 8.75″ to 9.125″ as the hard range, which will be the focus of this article going forward.

Most Common WR Hand Size, Or Most Common Top Performing WR Hand Size?

To see the influence of this hard range on player performances, we compared the rate of bottom 10 finishers and top 10 finishers being in this hand size range. Amongst 144 receivers finishing in the bottom 10 during since 2003, 19.4% (28) fell within the identified hard range, setting the baseline for comparison. If a less – or same – percentage occurs in the top 10, all we found was an average NFL WR hand size. If a higher percentage occurs, then we found the most common top performing NFL WR hand size.
So here it is: among the top 10 performers since 2003, 51 of 172 (29.7%) were within this hand size range, marking a substantial 10.3% increase! For Wide Receivers overall, this was our second biggest increase, giving our WR Weights findings competition as the biggest finding yet for Wide Receivers.

Decadal Differences

We also wanted to track the prevalence of our hard range through the past two decades to see if there are any recent trends to make note of. The following break down is what that looks like:

2004-2013
Top 1011 through 40Bottom 10
All count7622858
All between 8.75″ – 9.25″266220
% (hard range/all)34.2%27.2%34.5%
2014-2023
Top 1011 through 40Bottom 10
All count8625979
All between 8.75″ – 9.25″235816
% (hard range/all)26.7%22.4%20.3%

It is evident from this that in the most recent decade the hard range shows up less overall. Although, there was a larger increase going from the bottom 10 to the top 10 in the most recent decade.

Looking Ahead: 2024 Rookie Wide Receivers

In our analysis of 2024 rookie NFL wide receivers, we segmented them out based on their alignment with the identified hard and soft ranges. Although we admit if a player falls outside any of our soft ranges we are absolutely not saying he will never be successful. Rather, this information can be used to supplement your player evaluations. Here are the rookie findings:

In Soft Range:

  • Brian Thomas Jr. (9.75”)
  • Javon Baker (9.625”)
  • Ja’Lynn Polk (9.75”)
  • Jermaine Burton (9.875”)
  • Brenden Rice (9.625”)
  • Jalen McMillan (10”)
  • Luke McCaffrey (9.625”)
  • Johnny Wilson (10”)
  • Jalen Coker (9.875”)
  • DeVaughn Vele (9.75”)
  • Jordan Whittington (10”)
  • Marcus Rosemary-Jacksaint (10”)

In Hard Range:

  • Adonai Mitchell (9”)
  • Malachi Corley (9.125”)
  • Troy Franklin (8.75”)
  • Xavier Worthy (8.75”)
  • Xavier Legette (9”)
  • Anthony Gould (8.875”)
  • deVontez Walker (9.125”)
  • Isaiah Williams (9.125”)
  • Jacob Cowing (9”)
  • Jha’Quan Jackson (8.875”)
  • Lideatrick Griffin (9.125”)
  • Xavier Weaver (8.875”)

Outside both Ranges:

  • Marvin Harrison (9.5”)
  • Ricky Pearsall (9.25”)
  • Rome Odunze (9.25”)
  • Ladd McConkey (8.625”)
  • Roman Wilson (9.375”)
  • Keon Coleman (9.375”)
  • Ainias Smith (8.5”)
  • Cornelius Johnson (8.625”)
  • Jamari Thrash (8.625”)
  • Tahj Washington (8.375”)
  • Ryan Flournoy (10.125”)
  • Bub Means (10.125”)
  • Malik Washington (9.25”)
  • Tayvion Robinson (9.25”)

Conclusion: A Game-Changing Revelation

Our data-driven approach has unveiled a link between hand sizes and NFL wide receiver performances. As fans and analysts, we now have more insight into a previously relatively under-explored aspect of player evaluation. With a 10.3% increased rate of top 10 players showing up in this hand size range compared to the bottom 10, hand size amongst NFL wide receivers appears to be an important metric which can be used in prospect evaluations. Further, we understand that the separation of the soft and hard range may seem strange and hard to comprehend. We acknowledge that this is strange, although we are here to present the data to you and try to help make sense of it. To go over it once more: the hard range occurs from 8.75″ to 9.125″, and the soft range occurs from 9.625″ to 10″. This hard range had a 10.3% higher rate in the top 10 performers when compared to the bottom 10 performers since 2003.

More Data Next Week!

Our series has always sought to push the boundaries of sports analytics, and this latest installment reaffirms our commitment to uncovering the hidden dynamics that define the game. Every Saturday We will dive deep into the most intriguing questions, bust myths, and settle debates with thorough analysis similar to this. We thrive on curiosity and welcome your input — so please, leave comments or reach out to us with topics you’re eager to see dissected next. All of our research can be found on our Analytics Page. Up next on our agenda for Part 7 of our “Does It Matter?” series is our first examination of Running Backs: Does Weight matter? If so, what’s the ideal weight for a RB? Mark your calendars; every Saturday we shed light on the topics that matter to you. All it takes is a short question and we will go to work for you!

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